Breakout Probability: Darius Miles
In order for Darius to have what would be considered a breakout season, he would have to do the following:
1. Stay out of trouble for the ENTIRE season. This means no pouting, no drunken nights out on the town with taxi-cabs full of rookies, no complaints about bobbleheads, no acting like a jerk-off in front of the fans or the media, no changing at halftime, no tirades in practice, no racial slurs, no bathroom breaks and giving consistent, all-out effort on the court for the duration of each and every game and practice.
2. Stay completely healthy for at least 75 games. Completely healthy means that his knee would not hamper his lateral movement, quickness, athleticism, speed, etc. in any way.
3. Match or exceed his scoring numbers from last season (14-15 PPG), and average at lest 7 rebounds, 2.5 blocks, 2 steals and 3 assists. However, Darius would have to consistently put up these numbers over the course of the ENTIRE season, as opposed to coming on strong at the beginning and becoming increasingly ineffctive as the season goes on, as was the case last year.
Going into the season, there are many questions surrounding Darius. There are reports that he has been working out, become a born again Christian, and plans to "do his talking on the court" next season. However, he has never shown the ability to live up to his potential throughout the course of the entire season and has yet to finish a year without some kind of behavioral incident. He has also become somewhat of a ballhog of late, and has seemed to only be concerned with Darius' stats and what is best for Darius, not what is best for the team. Will a second year under Nate's system combined with God's healing love and a healthy knee be enough to send Darius over the top? The jury's still out, but right now it looks like a long shot even though I have this gut feeling that he may surprise us all (then again, that could just be because he's my ex-favorite Blazer).
BREAKOUT PROBABILITY: 35%